Ian Morrison

Ian Morrison

Long-Term Health Care Forecaster and Futurist

Speaker Categories: Healthcare Industry | Cybersecurity | Futurist | Change Management | Consumer Trends | Healthcare Policy

Travels From: CA, United States.

Speaker Fee Range: $20,001 to $40,000*

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Ian Morrison Bio
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Long-Term Health Care Forecaster and Futurist

Ian is an internationally known author, consultant, and futurist specializing in long-term forecasting and planning with particular emphasis on health care and the changing business environment. He combines research and consulting skills with an incisive Scottish wit to help public and private organizations plan their longer-term future.

Popular Speaker

Ian has written, lectured, and consulted on a wide variety of forecasting, strategy, and health care topics for government, industry, and a variety of nonprofit organizations in North America, Europe, and Asia. He has spoken to a range of audiences from the boards of Fortune 100 companies to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing. Ian has worked with more than 100 Fortune 500 companies in health care, manufacturing, information technology, and financial services. Recent client sponsors include GE, Kaiser Permanente and the Mayo Clinic. He is a frequent commentator on the future for television, radio, and the print media.

Publications

Ian is the author of Leading Change in Health Care: Building a Viable System for Today and Tomorrow (2011), and Healthcare in the New Millennium: Vision, Values and Leadership (2002). His previous book: The Second Curve – Managing The Velocity of Change (1996) was a New York Times Business Bestseller and Businessweek Bestseller. Ian has co-authored several books and chapters, including Future Tense: The Business Realities of the Next Ten Years (1994) and Looking Ahead at American Health Care (1988). He also has co-authored numerous journal articles for publications such as Chief Executive, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Across the Board, The British Medical Journal, New England Journal of Medicine, and Health Affairs.

Health Care Forecaster

Ian is a founding partner in Strategic Health Perspectives (SHP), (a forecasting service for clients in the health care industry), along with joint venture partners Harris Interactive and the Harvard School of Public Health’s Department of Health Policy and Management. Ian is President Emeritus of the Institute for the Future (IFTF). From 1996-1999, Ian was retained by Accenture as Chairman of the Health Futures Forum, in that capacity he chaired a number of Health Futures Forums in Asia, Australasia, and North America.

Education

Before coming to IFTF in 1985, Ian spent seven years in British Columbia, Canada, in a variety of research, teaching, and consulting positions. He holds an interdisciplinary Ph.D. in urban studies from the University of British Columbia; an M.A. in geography from the University of Edinburgh, Scotland, and a graduate degree in urban planning from the University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England.

Affiliations

He is a past member of the Board of Directors of SFN Group (an NYSE company); a past director of the Health Research and Education Trust (HRET), the research and education arm of the American Hospital Association; a past director of the Center for Health Design; and a director and past-chair of the California Health Care Foundation. He recently joined the board of the New Martin Luther King Hospital in Los Angeles. Ian also served as a member of the Stakeholders Advisory Committee of the Program for Health Systems Improvement at Harvard University.

A Look at the Next Economy

Massive forces of change are shaping the Next Economy. Demographic shifts around the world, powerful new technologies, and new organizational forms are creating change for organizations and individuals. Futurist Ian Morrison, with his incisive Scottish wit, will explain where the global economy has been and where it is headed, with particular emphasis on what it all means for American audiences whether they be corporations, non profit organizations or individuals. Drawing on more than 25 years experience as a futurist, Ian provides a lively and engaging view of what lies ahead and what it means for you and your organization.

The Future of the Healthcare Marketplace: What’s Next?

The Trump Administration is committed to Repeal and Replace Obamacare in 2017. This is causing all stakeholder to re-examine strategy and respond to a potentially dramatic shift in the policy and regulatory environment. Organizations and individuals need to be flexible to adjust to a new reform agenda, including the push for more widespread reimbursement reform, changes in coverage, growth in transparency and accountability, and the relentless quest for value in healthcare driven by patients and purchasers. This presentation will focus on the political, economic, and strategic context of change in healthcare, describe the possible scenarios we face and examine how the various actors are preparing for the future. Drawing on experience from around the country and around the world, it will identify the leadership challenges and opportunities that lie ahead and will provide strategic insights on how organizations and individuals can flourish in the future. Learning Objectives: To identify the key trends creating change in healthcare in particular the impact that the repeal and replace will have on healthcare To identify how health system leaders are responding to these key trends drawing on lessons from around the country and around the world To identify the implications for health systems strategy

THE SECOND CURVE: Managing the Velocity of Change

The thesis of Ian Morrison’s The Second Curve: Managing the Velocity of Change) is that most businesses in most industries are going along quite nicely on their first curve (their core business) where they make all their profit and revenue. Then along comes a second curve – a new business or completely new way of doing business – that threatens to replace the first curve. The second curve is driven by the confluence of three powerful driving forces: new technologies, such as the Internet; new consumers, who are smarter, more affluent, more skeptical and more demanding than the previous generation; and new markets, such as China, with its 1.2 billion consumers. The challenge is to gauge how fast the second curve will take over and develop strategy accordingly. All of the current profit is on the First Curve, all of the future growth is on the Second Curve. But there is a natural human tendency to overestimate the impact of phenomena in the short run, and underestimate it in the long run. The key is to understand and manage the velocity of change.

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